• Kami@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    4 days ago

    Is it though?

    I genuinely fear you all waiting for that supreme bubble burst will be either left waiting or be extremely disappointed when it happens.

    Time will tell I guess.

    • mushroommunk@lemmy.today
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      6 hours ago

      I mean Meta’s own chief AI researched, Yan Lecun (sp?), has stated that current AI models cannot achieve AGI and new unknown technology is needed. Circular investments like are rampant in the tech sector now have historically led to large market corrections. And most average people I know are getting tired of things crashing all the time and are starting to ask if it’s because of the current “vibe coding” trend they’ve heard about (yes anecdotal but the first two aren’t).

      Sure the bubble might not pop, but signs point to it happening. We can’t predict the future, but it often rhymes with history

      • Kami@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        5 hours ago

        That’s not exactly what Lecun said, he simply was criticizing the commercial approach of Meta and the lack of research. He himself thinks he can do more with just a different approach, not “unknown” tech.

        Meta, however, is only one of the companies working on it and they seem considerably behind competition currently.

        People complaining that things crash is in fact very anecdotal and, even if it was true, LLMs being not that good yet isn’t news and we aren’t talking about that.

        Same goes for the fact that LLMs aren’t anywhere close to AGI, like marketing teams try to pretend.

        On the other hand though, I have heard university professors saying that coding through LLMs is improving constantly and so rapidly that they think it is very likely that they will become widely used tools even for professional programmers in the near future.

        The time saving is game changing for any such activity.

        Should be also noted that we are seeing big improvements in time frames of months and LLMs have been “mainstream” for not that long yet. It’s so early to say what can or cannot be achieved in my opinion.

        Lastly, I’m not saying the bubble won’t pop. If I had to make a prediction the bubble will pop, some companies will burn to the ground but some others won’t because they were playing a different game the whole time (Google is the first example that comes to mind), which is why I think it won’t be the catharsis every anti-AI person is waiting for.

        As for AGI, I would dare to say that we’ll get there too, but it’s a useless prediction with no value.