20th C thinking.

• NATO countries would tool up fairly quickly on a war footing
• strategic advantage is no longer about tanks and artillery, it’s about the next few generations of drones
• dirty tricks haven’t even begun, really
• energy capacity is at this weird turning point of shifting production options and efficiencies, makes predictions harder
• Ukraine’s industrial capacity has changed to a war footing and they now export drones
• a non-democratic Ukraine would be a risk as big as oligarchy Russia